Guide To Under/Over 2.5 Goals Betting
Betting on the under or over 2.5 goals market, plus match predictions for today.
Betting on the under or over 2.5 goals market, plus match predictions for today.
HOW TO USE THE STATS TABLE:
The table includes match data for 2020/21 season from the top European leagues: Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga 1&2 and French Liga 1.
If you want to bet in the OVER 2.5 goals market look for teams with higher percentage numbers ( 60% – 100% ).
If you’re backing UNDER 2.5 goals then look for teams with lower percentage numbers ( 5% – 40% ).
|Bundesliga 2||Fortuna Dusseldorf||19/28||68%|
|Bundesliga 2||Greuther Furth||19/28||68%|
|Bundesliga 2||St Pauli||19/29||66%|
|Premier League||West Ham||21/32||66%|
|Bundesliga 2||Wurzburger Kickers||19/29||66%|
|Serie A||Flamengo RJ||23/38||61%|
|Ligue 1||Paris SG||20/33||61%|
|Premier League||Man United||19/32||59%|
|Serie A||Atletico Mineiro||22/38||58%|
|Serie A||Goiás EC||21/38||55%|
|Bundesliga 2||Erzgebirge Aue||15/28||54%|
|Serie A||EC Bahia||20/38||53%|
|Premier League||Aston Villa||15/30||50%|
|Serie A||Botafogo FR||19/38||50%|
|Serie A||Ceará SC||19/38||50%|
|Serie A||Fluminense FC||19/38||50%|
|Serie A||Sao Paulo||19/38||50%|
|Premier League||Crystal Palace||15/31||48%|
|Premier League||West Brom||15/31||48%|
|Serie A||Vasco da Gama||18/38||47%|
|Ligue 1||St Etienne||15/33||46%|
|Serie A||Grêmio Porto Al||17/38||45%|
|Serie A||Internacional RS||17/38||45%|
|Premier League||Man City||14/32||44%|
|Premier League||Sheffield United||14/32||44%|
|Serie A||Coritiba FBC||16/38||42%|
|Bundesliga 2||Holstein Kiel||11/26||42%|
|La Liga||Real Madrid||13/31||42%|
|Serie A||AC Goianiense||15/38||40%|
|La Liga||Ath Bilbao||12/30||40%|
|La Liga||Ath Madrid||12/31||39%|
|Serie A||Fortaleza EC||14/38||37%|
|Serie A||SE Palmeiras||14/38||37%|
|Serie A||CA Paranaense||12/38||32%|
ADDITIONAL USER INFORMATION:
1. You can find a specific team quickly by typing the club name into the search box at the top righthand side of the table.
2. You can filter teams by League and Percentage % (click the table header marked LEAGUE or %).
3. Use the ‘Show’ and ‘Next’ tab to view more teams.
4. The first number in column marked PD (example:10/12) is the total number of games ending over 2.5 goals and the second number is total games played.
The Under/Over 2.5 Goals market is a smart option for those who want to avoid the ‘correct score’ bet, which can be notoriously difficult to predict. A correct score bet requires you to forecast the exact number of goals scored by each team in a game.
The UNDER/OVER bet is a much easier to land, as you’re betting on the total number of goals scored by both sides during a game. It doesn’t matter which team scores or how many, as long as you correctly pick UNDER OR OVER 2.5 goals.
U/O goals are one of the most overlooked markets by UK football punters. Although, savvy Asian gamblers have been wise to this wager for a long time. The bets advantages are clear; if you think it will be an open game with plenty of chances, you back OVERs, on the flip side, if you feel the match will be tight, you back UNDERs.
The most popular Unders/Overs market is the 2.5 goal bet. Although you can wager under/over 1.5, 3.5 and 4.5 goals. What confuses people about this bet is the ‘.5’ element. How can a team score half a goal? They can’t, but it allows the bookmaker to draw a metaphorical line in the sand. Alternatively, the bookmaker could call this ‘match to have more than 2 goals bet’ or ‘match to have less than 3 goals bet’ but that doesn’t sound very catchy.
For example: if you back OVER 2.5 goals, the game would need to end 2-1, 3-0, 5-1, 3-2, 10-1 or any other scoreline totalling 3 or more goals. If the match ends 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 2-0 you’ve lost, as the scoreline is under 3 goals.
Given that a typical game of football averages between 2.4 and 2.6 goals per game (when factoring in different leagues and competitions) over 2.5 goals (and under) should be available to back at evens odds.
Before you make any bet, you should always research the market. Ask yourself whether you’re getting value. Take into account head-to-head stats, especially in recent encounters. Certain fixtures and leagues always seem to produce low scoring games, whereas others have a flurry of goals.
Free-scoring sides like Dortmund and Bayern Munich are usually good selections for over 2.5 goals. Alternatively, sides like Burnley and Eibar can be difficult to break down, even for top teams and you might find success backing the unders market.
We have lots of data for this particular bet type, check out our 2.5 goals stats table for data on the current season. In the next section, we’ll take a deep look at the best teams and leagues for betting on Under/Overs.
If we breakdown the U/O stats by league, we can see some interesting patterns emerge. We’ll be using the stats for 2019/20 season as our guide in the section below. However, the stats on this page (above table) display the numbers for his season.
One of the best leagues for betting on Over 2.5 goals is the German Bundesliga. In the 2019/20 season 65% of games ended in Over 2.5 goals. Bayern Munich led the league with a whopping 79% of their matches producing Overs. Eintracht Frankfurt had the next highest percentage at 76%.
The least reliable club for Overs fans was Wolfsburg. Just 53% of their matches ended in Over 2.5. Although, that’s good news for Unders backers.
Home and away form can also play a role in selecting teams in this market. Breaking down stats by home performance alone puts Bayern Munich at 94%. Interestingly, Hoffenheim have 65% Overs stat when combining Home & Away results. However, that number shoots up to 82% when you only look at their home games.
Another domestic league with good numbers for Overs backers is Italian Serie A. In 2019/20, 63% of games in the league ended Over 2.5.
Udinese and Hellas Verona were the two lowest clubs for Overs bets in Serie A. Udinese managed 45%, and Hellas Verona faired little better at 47%.
If we only look at home performances, Sassuolo tops the charts with an incredible 89% of their matches in the Mapei Stadium ending in Over 2.5 goals. The club with the next highest stat is Genoa at 74%. Away from home, Lazio’s performances are noteworthy, 79% of their away games ended in Overs.
Another league with mass appeal is the Spanish top flight. La Liga has two of the worlds most famous clubs. Real Madrid and Barcelona, each team can boast fans around the globe. But how does La Liga shape up for punters looking to back Overs?
In 2019/20 La Liga recorded just 41% games ending in Over 2.5 goals. Not a great statistic when compared to other top European leagues. Nevertheless, Under backers could use that information to good effect.
As expected, Barcelona top the league with 60% of their games totalling Over 2.5 goals. However, those are rookies numbers compared to Bayern or Genoa. Real Madrid could only manage 45%, and Savilla came near the bottom of the table with 30%.
I think it’s fair to say, avoid La Liga if you’re looking for lots of goals.
One league which if often overlooked by gamblers is the Dutch Eredivisie. It just so happens that the Netherlands top league is one of the best for producing big scoring games.
60% of league games in Holland end over 2.5 goals. However, that stat doesn’t tell the whole story, five league teams have a percentage higher than 68%. Sparta, Utrecht, Ajax, Zwolle and Waalwijk are the five teams you should pay attention too. Zwolle at home (92%) in particular are the club to watch.
Teams to avoid: Den Haag (31%), FC Groningen (31%), Willem II (38%).
The Premier League is perceived to be one of the most exciting leagues in the world. Nevertheless, the number of games which end Over 2.5 isn’t that high. On average, 52% of matches. That’s lower than the Bundesliga and Serie A.
We can look at individual teams in the league to get a clearer picture. The club with the best Overs stats is Manchester City (76%). The worst is Crystal Palace (29%), and surprisingly Manchester United ended the 2019/20 season with a lower rate (42%) than most other teams.
Liverpool (68%) and Chelsea (66%) were decent picks for punters. Along with Watford, Arsenal and Leicester City at home. On the road, Tottenham posted good stats (68%), but it was Chelsea playing away from the Bridge who recorded the best numbers – 84% of their away games ended Over 2.5.
You certainly can! Betfair has a coupon for under/over 2.5 accumulators, choose two or more games and roll them up into a big Acca. Typically a four selection Acca will return around £80 for a £10 stake. A ten game accumulator could land you £6,000+ for a £10 bet.