Before you make any bet, you should always research the market. Ask yourself whether you’re getting value. Take into account head-to-head stats, especially in recent encounters. Certain fixtures and leagues always seem to produce low scoring games, whereas others have a flurry of goals.

Free-scoring sides like Dortmund and Bayern Munich are usually good selections for over 2.5 goals. Alternatively, sides like Burnley and Eibar can be difficult to break down, even for top teams and you might find success backing the unders market.

We have lots of data for this particular bet type, check out our 2.5 goals stats table for data on the current season. In the next section, we’ll take a deep look at the best teams and leagues for betting on Under/Overs.

BEST LEAGUES FOR OVER 2.5 GOALS

If we breakdown the U/O stats by league, we can see some interesting patterns emerge. We’ll be using the stats for 2019/20 season as our guide in the section below. However, the stats on this page (above table) display the numbers for his season.

BUNDESLIGA

One of the best leagues for betting on Over 2.5 goals is the German Bundesliga. In the 2019/20 season 65% of games ended in Over 2.5 goals. Bayern Munich led the league with a whopping 79% of their matches producing Overs. Eintracht Frankfurt had the next highest percentage at 76%.

The least reliable club for Overs fans was Wolfsburg. Just 53% of their matches ended in Over 2.5. Although, that’s good news for Unders backers.

Home and away form can also play a role in selecting teams in this market. Breaking down stats by home performance alone puts Bayern Munich at 94%. Interestingly, Hoffenheim have 65% Overs stat when combining Home & Away results. However, that number shoots up to 82% when you only look at their home games.

SERIE A

Another domestic league with good numbers for Overs backers is Italian Serie A. In 2019/20, 63% of games in the league ended Over 2.5.

Seven clubs: Genoa, Sassuolo, Lecce, Lazio, Juventus, AS Roma and Atalanta finished the season with a percentage rate over 70%. Genoa topped the stats on 79% followed by Sassuolo on 76%.

Udinese and Hellas Verona were the two lowest clubs for Overs bets in Serie A. Udinese managed 45%, and Hellas Verona faired little better at 47%.

If we only look at home performances, Sassuolo tops the charts with an incredible 89% of their matches in the Mapei Stadium ending in Over 2.5 goals. The club with the next highest stat is Genoa at 74%. Away from home, Lazio’s performances are noteworthy, 79% of their away games ended in Overs.

LA LIGA

Another league with mass appeal is the Spanish top flight. La Liga has two of the worlds most famous clubs. Real Madrid and Barcelona, each team can boast fans around the globe. But how does La Liga shape up for punters looking to back Overs?

In 2019/20 La Liga recorded just 41% games ending in Over 2.5 goals. Not a great statistic when compared to other top European leagues. Nevertheless, Under backers could use that information to good effect.

As expected, Barcelona top the league with 60% of their games totalling Over 2.5 goals. However, those are rookies numbers compared to Bayern or Genoa. Real Madrid could only manage 45%, and Savilla came near the bottom of the table with 30%.

I think it’s fair to say, avoid La Liga if you’re looking for lots of goals.

DUTCH LEAGUE (Eredivisie)

One league which if often overlooked by gamblers is the Dutch Eredivisie. It just so happens that the Netherlands top league is one of the best for producing big scoring games.

60% of league games in Holland end over 2.5 goals. However, that stat doesn’t tell the whole story, five league teams have a percentage higher than 68%. Sparta, Utrecht, Ajax, Zwolle and Waalwijk are the five teams you should pay attention too. Zwolle at home (92%) in particular are the club to watch.

Teams to avoid: Den Haag (31%), FC Groningen (31%), Willem II (38%).

PREMIER LEAGUE

The Premier League is perceived to be one of the most exciting leagues in the world. Nevertheless, the number of games which end Over 2.5 isn’t that high. On average, 52% of matches. That’s lower than the Bundesliga and Serie A.

We can look at individual teams in the league to get a clearer picture. The club with the best Overs stats is Manchester City (76%). The worst is Crystal Palace (29%), and surprisingly Manchester United ended the 2019/20 season with a lower rate (42%) than most other teams.

Liverpool (68%) and Chelsea (66%) were decent picks for punters. Along with Watford, Arsenal and Leicester City at home. On the road, Tottenham posted good stats (68%), but it was Chelsea playing away from the Bridge who recorded the best numbers – 84% of their away games ended Over 2.5.