The two matches below form a ‘double’ bet for today’s over 5.5 goal prediction.
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Over 5.5 goals betting works the same way as Over 2.5 wagers. It’s easy to understand why Under/Over betting is popular with football fans. The bet only requires you to predict if the number of goals scored in a game will be more or fewer than 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 or 5.5. You don’t need to pick the winning team, guess the exact scoreline or name the goalscorer.
As the returns on U/O 2.5 betting can be modest. Fans looking for bigger odds can try the over 5.5 goals betting market. It works just like Over 2.5 goals betting. The main difference being the odds tend to be larger, as the likelihood of a football game ending Over 5.5 goals is less than 2.5.
Typically the odds on Over 5.5 goals will range from 7/1 up to 25/1 and even higher on occasions. As you’ll already know, British bookmakers are not in the business of throwing money away, so those big odds reflect the risk involved to the punter.
In reality, few games end Over 5.5 goals. However, individual clubs and leagues are statistically more likely to be involved in high scoring games. Stats from the current season show that the Dutch Eredivisie, Serie A and Bundesliga are leagues worth looking into for high scoring games.
Today you can find our Over 5.5 predictions at the top of the page. The two matches form a ‘double’ bet, but feel free to back the selections individually or use our stats table to find different teams to back.
HOW TO USE THE STATS TABLE:
The table includes match data for 2020/21 season from the top European leagues: Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga 1&2 and French Liga 1.
If you want to bet in the OVER 5.5 goals market look for teams with higher percentage numbers 15% +
If you’re backing UNDER 5.5 goals then look for teams with lower percentage numbers ( 0% – 5% ).
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ADDITIONAL USER INFORMATION:
1. You can find a specific team quickly by typing the club name into the search box at the top right-hand side of the table.
2. You can filter teams by League and Percentage % (click the table header marked LEAGUE or %).
3. Use the ‘Show’ and ‘Next’ tab to view more teams.
4. The first number in the column marked PD (example:10/12) is the total number of games ending over 5.5 goals and the second number is total games played.
If we look closely at the Over 5.5 statistics by league, we can see some intriguing patterns develop. We’ll be using the stats for 2019/20 season as our guide in this section. However, the stats on this page (above table) show the information for the current season.
The English Premier League has a reputation for producing entertaining football, with plenty of goals. Fans could be forgiven for thinking it would be a decent league for Over 5.5 purposes. However, nothing could be further from the truth. Statistically, the Premier League has a low number of games with big scorelines. On average, just 2.9% of matches end in Over 5.5 goals.
The 2.9% number is an overall league average. Yet, specific teams are involved in high scoring matches more often than the league average. The club with the highest percentage of games over 5.5 in the 2019/20 season was Chelsea at 8%. Villa, City, United and Liverpool all managed 5%.
Splitting the stats between ‘home and away’ performances shows Liverpool’s over 5.5 goals rate at Anfield was 11%. Chelsea’s percentage rate went up to 16% when playing away from Stamford Bridge. However, the fact remains that the Premier League is not a happy hunting ground for Over 5.5 backers.
If you’re looking for a league with bags of goals, try the Dutch Eredivisie. In 2019/20 the league had a 10.3% rate of games ending Over 5.5. That’s much higher than the Premier League (2.9%), La Liga (4.5%) and France’s Ligue One (4.3%).
A 10.3% rate is high, but remember, that’s a combined league rate. Individual teams do even better. Feyenoord beat the league average with 16% of their games ending Over 5.5 goals. That number went up to 25% when they played away from home.
Ajax was another club who did better on the road. The Amsterdam based side posted an average of 8% at home. However, when Ajax played away, the percentage rate climbed to 17%. So, the Dutch league is well worth studying for those looking for a smarter bet.
As mentioned earlier, the French Ligue 1 has a low over 5.5 goal rate at 4.3%. It’s higher than the Premier League but lower than the Dutch league. However, that doesn’t tell the whole story.
In Ligue 1 specific clubs can be involved in high scoring games. PSG and Monaco are the two teams which can land you with lots of goals. PSG games have ended over 5.5 at a rate of 15%. Monaco is just behind the Parisians on 11%. Both clubs have a stronger possibility of racking up large scorelines playing at home.
The Bundesliga offers opportunities for those looking to back the Over 5.5 market. In 2019/20 approximately 9.5% of games ended in over 5.5.
In particular, a few clubs were responsible for that high percentage rate. As expected, Dortmund (21%) and Bayern Munich (18%) were top of the table when it came to high scoring games.
Frankfurt was also involved in goal-fest games. 15% of their matches ended Over 5.5. When playing away from home, the stats improved to 18%. Interestingly, Wolfsburg (3%) and Union Berlin (0%) had the lowest number of matches with big scorelines.
Serie A is another source of high scoring games. In the Italian league, a healthy 9.2% of games finished over 5.5 goals. Two-thirds of Serie A teams recorded an 8% or higher rate percentage of matches ending over 5.5.
The team with the highest percentage rate in 2019/20 was Sassuolo (18%) closely followed by Sampdoria on 13%. Atalanta, Roma and Lazio also matched that figure. Sassuolo’s percentage goes up to 26% at home, and Cagliari also posted impressive numbers at home (21%).
Away from home, four teams posted 16% Over 5.5 goals: Napoli, Brescia, Atalanta and AS Roma. Udinese and Genoa should be avoided; both clubs have the lowest rate of matches ending in over 5.5 goals.
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Ref2022-03-17 15:17:162022-03-17 15:17:16Middlesbrough vs Chelsea – Match Prediction, Odds & Free Tips | 2022New customers may be eligible for a variety of promotional bonuses when creating an account online. For this weekend, free bets, higher odds, and match specials are available. We’ve compiled a list of the most attractive deals accessible from major online bookies below. To learn more about the promotion deal, click on the links below.
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