Typically the odds on over 4.5 goals scored in a game will range from 4/1 all the way up to 9/1. Obviously, the bookies aren’t in the habit of throwing money away, so these big odds reflect the risk involved.
The truth is very few games end over 4.5 goals or more, for example in the 2015/16 Premier League season only 13% of games ended in over 4.5 goals.
Nevertheless, some teams are more likely to be involved in high scoring games than others. Last season Everton, Liverpool, Newcastle and Aston Villa led the Premier League with 18% of their matches ending in a 4.5+ goal fest.
Statistics from the 2015/16 season show very little difference between the top European Leagues in terms of the number of games which see over 4.5 goals scored, with the average being 13%.
However, big differences do appear at the individual team level. From example Bundesliga teams Werder Bremen and Mönchengladbach were nearly twice as likely to be involved in games with 4.5 or more goals as other top German sides.
It’s worth noting that placing a wager on over 4.5 goals to be scored is one of the hardest bets to land, having said that it can also be one of the most profitable if you get your match selections right.
Each week we will feature our top tips for the games that we think will produce 4.5 goals or more. The selections will form a betting ‘double’ but feel free to back the selections individually or use our table to find teams who are regularly involved in big scoring games.